07/04/2009 - Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jorge Posada's single in the bottom of the 12th inning lifted the New York Yankees to a 6-5 win over Toronto in the second of a four-game set from Yankee Stadium.
Posada also hit a homer and finished with two RBI, Johnny Damon hit a two-run homer, Hideki Matsui added a solo blast and Alex Rodriguez also drove in a run for the Yankees, who have taken the first two games of the series and have won nine of their last 10 contests.
Brett Tomko (1-2) pitched a scoreless inning for the win. Starter Chien-Ming Wang was charged with six hits and four runs over 5 1/3 innings before leaving due to injury.
Alex Rios collected two hits and drove in three runs for the Blue Jays, losers in six of their last seven. Adam Lind homered and knocked in a pair while Marco Scutaro hit safely twice and scored once in defeat.
Shawn Camp (0-4) took the loss, charged with the deciding run on two hits despite four strikeouts over 2 1/3 innings. Roy Halladay was tagged for nine hits, including three homers, and five runs in his seven-inning start.
Camp issued a leadoff double to Mark Teixeira, then intentionally walked Rodriguez. Robinson Cano attempted to sacrifice both runners, but Raul Chavez threw to third for the first out before Posada plated Rodriguez with a base hit to center.
The Yanks picked up a run in the first as Damon walked with one out, moved to second on a groundout and scored on a single from Rodriguez.
Toronto struck with a pair in the second when a Rios single brought in Vernon Wells and Lyle Overbay, but Matsui evened the score in the home half with his 12th home run of the season.
Posada led off the fourth with a homer which gave New York a 3-2 edge, but Wang gave that right back in the sixth, allowing a leadoff double to Scutaro and a two-run homer to Lind. David Robertson was summoned but walked both Scott Rolen and Overbay before striking out Wells. Rios then singled home Rolen and the Jays led 5-3.
Jeter singled with one out in the seventh and Damon tied the game with a two- run shot.
Jesse Carlson retired Cano on a grounder with two on and two out in the ninth to send the game to extra innings.
Game Notes
New York has won four of five meetings in 2009...Today marked the 70th anniversary of Lou Gehrig's legendary speech, made at the original Yankee Stadium between games of a doubleheader against the Washington Senators...Wang left the game with a right shoulder strain and will undergo an MRI later Saturday...A total of 12 pitchers recorded at least one out in the game, with the Yankees using seven hurlers.
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(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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